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MAN UP
SUMMER OF DYING SWANS
TRYING TO APPLY THE BRAKES
MAKING ENTITLEMENTS PERMANENT – REMOVE THE SHAME
BETTER THAN EXPECTED DATA GETS OVERLOOKED
TURNING AROUND THE TROOPS
COOL HAND BERNANKE?
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USA WAVING BYE-BYE BIG THINGS
 


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2009-07-01 01:26
WAITING IN THE WINGS

NEW YORK, NY

Check me out as host of "Cavuto" tonight at 6:00-7:00 pm EST on the Fox Business Network

The market is holding to the same pattern of strong moves out the gate only to meander for the remainder of the session. In this case, the move was higher, reflecting what I believe is enormous demand for stocks...if there is a true green light. With that in mind, tomorrow should be a wild session. Volume should be light, meaning an exaggerated move, and those that bother to come into work will be hungry for action. The S&P 500 breaks out through 960.0 and from there it's off to the races. Of course, if the jobs number comes in worse than expected then everyone will head for the exit to begin a three-day weekend. I must say that I think the estimates are too optimistic, but we'll see.

Economic Data

Oil Inventory

The Department of Energy reported that crude oil supply fell by 3.7 million barrels last week, versus the consensus expectation of a 2.0 million barrel draw. Meanwhile, the 2.3 million barrel build in gas inventories was slightly above the 2.0 million consensus. The results are keeping crude prices and related stocks under pressure today. Although crude is being used more quickly than expected, the consistent rise in gasoline supply over the last three weeks is telling. Clearly gas prices, which were touching above $3.00 per gallon in some places over the past few weeks, are getting on consumers' nerves. On the positive side, this price elasticity of demand suggests we can avoid runaway inflation, at least for now.


  

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