|
The 5.7% GDP number was a positive surprise although I think that many people thought it
would be this high. I even heard whispers of 6.0%. There will be much debate about the number, including how much reflected real demand and what
happens when government spending runs dry. It's good news for the day but would have a bigger impact if it could be coupled with a strong jobs report
next week. Despite the beat, recent trends are clear, and it wouldn't be a surprise that after revisions this number was simply "in line", maybe even
below consensus. It makes me sick that Christina Romer ran out to tout the number; it shows insensitivity to Main Street because this report is
decidedly not a report card on what's happening in American life.

Inventories were the bright spot, dropping at a $33.5 billion annual pace
following a $139.2 billion pace in 3Q09. In short, the performance was just okay. Spending by the federal government offset drops in state and local
spending, but consumer spending was not really there.
I had a chance to ask Commerce Secretary Gary Locke a couple of questions this morning
about the initiatives to supposedly help small businesses. I asked about the notion of giving consumers a tax break to spark demand and got the
standard answer that there was a tax cut for 95% of the country. I'm still not sure why the Administration doesn't get it. There are enough people
working right now to get some demand going if all Americans could keep more of what they make. It's a very simple concept, too simple, perhaps. Most
of this stuff is lip service, and the market is not only ignoring the hype and false promises but I think we've gotten to the point where even
slightly good news is written off.
There were some positives on GDP but it's a tiny drop in the bucket, and it leaves the dilemma of where
does end demand come from going forward.
GDP Notes: * Consumer spending was up 2.0% for the quarter, down from 2.9% in 3Q09 *
Foreign trade: +28.1% * Equipment spending: +13.3% * Residential investment: +5.6% * Non-residential: -15.4%

Consumer Confidence
The Michigan Consumer Confidence
report came in above consensus as the expectations component climbed off a three-month base, but still are below the recent high point established in
September.

The
Market
This week the most important number for the market is 10,200 on the Dow Jones Industrial Average. We have straddled it all
session long, but it's looking bleak going into the second half of trading for the session. The pressure in tech stocks continues to be shocking, sure
there has been profit taking but it seems overdone.
I would like to highlight the Ultrashort S&P Proshares (SDS). At 10,200, the DJIA is
on the verge of breaking through significant support. If that is violated, it leaves the index vulnerable to 9,700 or lower. I think that the market
is oversold, but that doesn't mean it can't move even lower. The Ultrashort S&P Proshares is a defensive idea and it is good to have some downside
protection. |
Delivery, and or timely delivery of Internet mail is not guaranteed. Wall Street Strategies
therefore recommends that you do not rely on email as your sole method of communication with us. We recommend using your company email address or one
issued to you by your Internet Service Provider. Free web-based email accounts like Hotmail and Yahoo are not advised as they are subject to quotas,
filters and frequent delays.
Disclaimer: All investment entails inherent risk. Wall Street Strategies' research seeks to assist investors in
determining when to buy and when to sell to attempt to maximize profits or minimize losses. All final investment decisions are yours and as a result
you could make or lose money. Wall Street Strategies, its employees and/or its affiliates and family members may from time to time take positions in
the open market or otherwise with respect to the securities discussed. Wall Street Strategies, its employees and/or affiliates do not have stock
ownership equal to or greater than 1% of the outstanding stock of the covered company nor does any employee of Wall Street Strategies sit on the Board
of Directors of any covered company. Wall Street Strategies is not a broker/dealer, and the firm does not underwrite securities, manage assets or
perform investment banking activities. The statements made herein include information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but no
independent verification has been made and we do not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. The statements made herein contain general information
and do not constitute an offer to buy or sell any security.
61 BROADWAY SUITE 1425, NEW YORK, NY 10006 Tel: 212-514-9500 Fax:
212-514-9582
Mail |