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RISING JOB MARKET COULD BE EVEN BETTER
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2010-07-27 01:26
MORE MIXED SIGNALS

At one point the market was poised to take off, but a funny thing happened to the clean breakout. A reminder to just how tough things are and just how uneven even the best rebound could be. (I never played the letter game but this isn't a "V" -shaped recovery.) The market wants to move higher, but challenges remain. US Steel (X) posted a fantastic earnings report but only offered flimsy guidance. That bit of news is crushing the sector, which I already believe is oversold. Consumer confidence continues to be on a rollercoaster ride that could only be described as hair-raising and worrisome. It's not the banks or big businesses we're talking about but instead ordinary people that are losing hope and confidence.

Ironically, confidence about where the nation will be in the next six-months slipped noticeably even as a couple of segments of the report improved. The expectations component dropped much more than present conditions and that is never a good sign. But, maybe the jobs picture is getting better. So, if people feel better about jobs, and they are still worried, what the heck are they worried about? Paging Rahm Emanuel...it's not Gaza.

The market has enjoyed a sharp move higher, the uncertainty is a chance for sellers to bail, but I don't think they will.



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