|
NEW YORK, NY The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 are only off a little more than a percentage point
each, but breadth is decidedly lopsided with 2,240 down stocks against 661 up stocks on the NYSE. On one hand, this could be viewed as a typical
summer walk-through-the-park session especially after a great weekend in New York. On the other hand, even bulls know that the market is due to give
back some ground. Lingering confusion over Friday's jobs report and a lack of leadership has equities grappling with staying on their feet. Big chunks
have been taken out of hot stocks and that's reasonable, too. The big question is will those traders sitting on profits blink and move off to the
sidelines to reload or will they weather the latest wave of angst?
There are scores of charts that look just like the chart of the S&P 500. Big
moves have been made, and now serious resistance points are holding up. For the benchmark S&P 500, that number is 940.0 or so. By the same token, the
index continues to hover above key moving averages like the 20-day and 50-day. Nobody is pushing the panic button although I wouldn't be surprised to
see boredom do what shorts and bears couldn't do for months...push them out of the market. Of course, by now, we should be accustomed to one
challenging session a week and when it happens on Monday it can mean clear sailing the rest of the week. I'm still wondering where the catalyst is
coming from because it's one thing for investors to hold but another to get the voyeurs off the sidelines and into the game.

I find it interesting that the president is taking that
jobs number from Friday as evidence things are getting better. He must know that revision will take the tally over half a million jobs lost in the
month. In fact, jobs are vanishing faster than expected, and this is with the stimulus plan that is supposed to be creating jobs.
Interesting Sectors
The homebuilders are holding up today and I'm not sure why. The group had made a massive rebound
but supporting data has been elusive, although there have been occasional "green shoots" in housing. The thing is that the Dow Jones U.S. Home
Construction Index has fallen apart, and is now below all its key moving averages.

Afternoon Trade
Having said that, the market needs
a spark. It would be truly encouraging if there was late buying because I sense there are some buyers lurking and itching to buy on
weakness.
Afternoon Notes from WSS Research Desk
Brian Sozzi
* Retail stocks looks real limp thus
far in today's session. I believe it reflects a few things (1) disappointment in the chain-store sales data last week, (2) realization that the
holiday season, just because inventory is low, won't mean fat profits for the sector, and (3) the consensus estimate for May retail sales of +0.4% ex.
autos seems too optimistic.
* Unfortunately for the market today, the replay of the Bernanke interview on "60 Minutes" yesterday evening is not
provoking investors to get into the fray. It was a good study, however, to watch the Fed Chairman's comments for a second time, specifically as he
referenced an economic recovery would be underway if banks were to tap private capital sources. It seems to me that most of the comments he served up
to the American public on March 16 have held true, so let's hope his assertion on a second half recovery bears fruit as well.
* Retailing is a
delicate balance between giving customers what they want (selection and price) and turning a profit, for the most part. Let's extract Abercrombie &
Fitch (ANF) from the hullabaloo in this particular instance. If you remember, it was plastered all over the news media that the preppy teen apparel
retailer was slashing prices in an effort to lure consumers turned off by the high (or "aspirational") price-points. While I have begun to notice
price declines in t-shirts, skirts, and shorts I have also noticed the company attempting to sell $140 camis and $60 summer scarves (not so quietly
they are seeking to make up the margin being lost on the discounts). The company will continue to suffer as it tries to find a balance in its business
during a period of consume thrift.
|
Delivery, and or timely delivery of Internet mail is not guaranteed. Wall Street Strategies
therefore recommends that you do not rely on email as your sole method of communication with us. We recommend using your company email address or one
issued to you by your Internet Service Provider. Free web-based email accounts like Hotmail and Yahoo are not advised as they are subject to quotas,
filters and frequent delays.
Disclaimer: All investment entails inherent risk. Wall Street Strategies' research seeks to assist investors in
determining when to buy and when to sell to attempt to maximize profits or minimize losses. All final investment decisions are yours and as a result
you could make or lose money. Wall Street Strategies, its employees and/or its affiliates and family members may from time to time take positions in
the open market or otherwise with respect to the securities discussed. Wall Street Strategies, its employees and/or affiliates do not have stock
ownership equal to or greater than 1% of the outstanding stock of the covered company nor does any employee of Wall Street Strategies sit on the Board
of Directors of any covered company. Wall Street Strategies is not a broker/dealer, and the firm does not underwrite securities, manage assets or
perform investment banking activities. The statements made herein include information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but no
independent verification has been made and we do not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. The statements made herein contain general information
and do not constitute an offer to buy or sell any security.
61 BROADWAY SUITE 1425, NEW YORK, NY 10006 Tel: 212-514-9500 Fax:
212-514-9582
|