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| 2010-07-26 01:52 |
CALLING THE MARKET
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Let's call it a scam and let's just admit we are all betting said scam because we need the stock market to rebound. There is no doubt
the stock market plays a critical role in confidence among consumers and businesses. The stock market is seen as a proxy for the economy and the
health of corporate America even though it's a better proxy of what's going to happen. On that note, we need the market to find traction and continue
to rebound. As it turns out, that European stress test was a scam, at least that's the assessment over at JP Morgan (JPM). Forget other dubious
parameters, the fix was in by only testing trading books, not accruals, and making Tier 1 capital ratios hurdles too easy to clear.
1.7% bias by not looking into accrual books 1.2% bias by not looking at core Tier 1
ratios 2.9% bias when applied would have seen 54 banks, not only 7, fail a more reasonable stress test. Happy Days are
here Again
New home sales picked up in June to an annualized pace of 333,000 from 300,000 in May. The former figure was the second
worst month on record.

I think sales in
the West were the lowest ever. Moreover, prices have dipped again. Unlike existing homes where prices are spiking, new home prices have dropped from a
$284,100 average in February to $242,900 in June. If you took advantage of that first-time homebuyer's credit to buy a new home in February you could
be down more than $30,000 after the tax break. Still, we will take the news as good because it could have been worse.

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Disclaimer: Securities Operations Forum is providing this research to assist investors in determining when to buy and when to sell. All investment decisions are yours and as a result you could make or lose money. Securities Operations Forum, its employees and/or its affiliates and family members may from time to time take positions in the open market or otherwise with respect to the securities discussed, but not have stock ownership equal to or greater than 1% of the outstanding stock of the covered company nor does any employee of Securities Operations Forum sit on the Board of Directors of any covered company. The statements made herein include information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but no independent verification has been made and we do not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. The statements made herein contain general information and do not constitute an offer to buy or sell any security. |