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| 2010-03-04 02:14 |
ANOTHER DAY OF ANGST (BUT RAYS OF HOPE, TOO)
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The final countdown has begun. We go through it every month but it takes on a fresh sensation each time. The jobs report
looms large as it can set the tone for the market for the next 30 days. The week has gone according to script. We came out of the gate with vigor on
Monday but have since been sideways as investors digest data that has been mixed, though on balance, better than expected. Today's data was also
mixed, with the big standouts being productivity trends and pending homes sales. Pending home sales tumbled big time. Consensus on the Street was
+1.0% but instead the actual result was -7.6%. Initially, the news sent equities lower but when the industry explained this number was skewed by the
weather all was forgiven. There is a difference; however, to rationalization that stops the market from moving lower and rationalization that provides
a spark.

To be sure, there continues to be
positive signs including:
* Wal-Mart (WMT) raised its dividend, continuing a trend that underscores growing confidence the worst is over. Our
retail sector analyst, Brian Sozzi, reiterated his buy rating on the stock following the recent earnings release.
* AK Steel (AKS) is adding a
surcharge of $330.0 per ton. The new rates begin in April on electric steel products.
Then there is the initial jobless claims which provided
the "phew" moment of the session. After a shocker last week, and several weeks of trending higher, people filing for first time unemployment benefits
dipped a little. Of course we have to get the number down under 400,000 before celebrating, but considering the direction we were heading it's a big
relief not to have a "5" handle on this report.

On the international front the situation in Greece looks rosier
today as their auction has attracted more than $21.0 billion in bids (only $5 billion was up for sale). The moral of the story is that Germany and
France have no choice except to bailout their fellow EU/Euro member.
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Disclaimer: Securities Operations Forum is providing this research to assist investors in determining when to buy and when to sell. All investment decisions are yours and as a result you could make or lose money. Securities Operations Forum, its employees and/or its affiliates and family members may from time to time take positions in the open market or otherwise with respect to the securities discussed, but not have stock ownership equal to or greater than 1% of the outstanding stock of the covered company nor does any employee of Securities Operations Forum sit on the Board of Directors of any covered company. The statements made herein include information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but no independent verification has been made and we do not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. The statements made herein contain general information and do not constitute an offer to buy or sell any security. |